Value chains & chokepoints
DR Congo and Angola signed a US-backed railway agreement to improve mineral transport to the Atlantic coast. The Lobito Corridor could cut journey times from 30 days to a week or less. The US has proposed investing up to $1 billion to challenge China's control of DR Congo's mining industry.
Why it matters: This relates to the theme of great-power competition over critical minerals in Africa.
critical minerals · chokepoint infrastructure · great power rivalry
Also reported by: Bing News: Lobito corridor
CMA CGM Group and China Communications Construction Company Limited (CCCC) signed a Memorandum of Understanding to strengthen cooperation in port infrastructure, logistics, transport services, innovation, and energy transition. The agreement focuses on opportunities in Africa, China, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, and builds on existing partnerships with CCCC subsidiaries such as CHEC and ZPMC.
Why it matters: This agreement illustrates the theme of global supply chain realignment, as shipping and infrastructure firms deepen cross-border partnerships to expand port and logistics networks.
chokepoint infrastructure · great power rivalry
Asia-Pacific
Insurgent and terrorist networks in Pakistan are positioning themselves in areas critical to the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) is increasing its footprint in the northern belt, while the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) has ramped up attacks in Balochistan. The deteriorating security situation is expected to disrupt future CPEC projects and China-Pakistan economic cooperation.
Why it matters: This development directly affects the theme of 'geoeconomic corridors and security', as militant activity threatens the stability of CPEC, a key node of China's Belt and Road Initiative.
chokepoint infrastructure · critical minerals · great power rivalry · supply chain risk
China's trade surplus reached $1.2 trillion in 2025, the largest in history, driven by a deliberate strategy of self-sufficiency that discourages private consumption and subsidizes industrial investment. The strategy rests on three pillars: industrial, financial, and geopolitical, which together have displaced Western producers and created dependencies through infrastructure financing and control over critical minerals. Internal strains, such as a shrinking workforce and youth unemployment, are managed through a repressive political system, and the model may lead to external assertion if internal contradictions worsen.
Why it matters: This analysis directly addresses the theme of global imbalances and geopolitical competition, highlighting how China's mercantilist strategy challenges Western economic and political stability.
supply chain risk · great power rivalry
Europe, Eurasia & MENA
UK gas storage levels have fallen to unusually low levels for this time of year, prompting warnings of a potential winter fuel shortage. Centrica CEO Chris O'Shea said Britain has no gas in storage for the coming winter, with storage facilities only about 30% full this week, down from 46% a year earlier. The low stocks follow a dramatic drop in tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Iran war, and European gas prices have doubled since the conflict began.
Why it matters: This highlights the theme of energy security, as the UK's reliance on imports and low storage capacity expose it to supply disruptions and price volatility.
supply chain risk
Oil prices fell on Friday after the US military said it had cleared all mines in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran said it would draw up a list of demands for the waterway's full reopening. Brent crude was at $87.58 a barrel, down 1.08% from the previous day. Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, said Iran was preparing a list of conditions for reopening the strait, and that Iran and Oman had agreed on a shipping corridor.
Why it matters: This relates to the theme of energy security, as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz affects global oil supply and prices.
chokepoint maritime · great power rivalry
Sub-Saharan Africa
Cmb-Tech has started operations at a green hydrogen facility in Walvis Bay with 5 MW of off-grid solar, a 5 MW PEM electrolyzer, and 5.9 MWh of battery storage. The project, developed with Namibia’s Ohlthaver & List Group, is described as Africa’s first fully integrated green hydrogen facility. Hydrogen will be used in dual-fuel trucks and generators, with plans for railway and maritime applications, and the company aims to scale the project to 250 MW and later 500 MW.
Why it matters: This development advances the theme of energy transition by demonstrating a fully integrated green hydrogen project in Africa, with potential for scaling and diversification into transport and industry.
green tech supply chain
Congolese President Félix Tshisekedi announced a national dialogue for peace, cohesion, and state refoundation on Thursday evening, August 27. The dialogue will last three months, starting in the provinces before culminating in meetings in Kinshasa. Political analyst Christian Moleka commented on the announcement.
Why it matters: This relates to the theme of governance and political stability in the DRC.
critical minerals · supply chain risk
Americas
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on Friday that diplomacy with the US is possible if Washington abandons its pressure campaign. Diplomatic efforts by mediators including Pakistan and Qatar have not ended the war, despite a ceasefire in April and a memorandum of understanding in June. The US has declared economic warfare, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
Why it matters: This relates to the theme of geopolitical conflict and economic statecraft, as the US pressure campaign and Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz affect global energy markets and regional stability.
chokepoint maritime · sanctions export controls · great power rivalry
Also reported by: The Straits Times
US President Donald Trump announced an agreement with Venezuela, calling it the 'largest oil deal in the world,' which grants US access to oil resources. Trump stated that his administration secured control over the majority of Venezuela's confirmed oil reserves, exceeding 65 billion barrels, at no cost to US taxpayers. The deal was reached under Trump's direction, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth working with Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, and through a private-sector partnership.
Why it matters: This deal directly affects global energy markets and US energy security, a core theme of the briefing on geopolitical resource competition.
great power rivalry · sanctions export controls