Geostrategic Daily

The Diplomat · 11 September 2026

Can India Exploit China’s ‘Malacca Dilemma’?

India’s defense spending is just over a quarter of China’s, and China holds a 3:1 advantage in airpower. The article argues India could offset this by developing maritime-denial capabilities around the Andaman and Nicobar Islands to threaten the Strait of Malacca, through which nearly 80 percent of China’s energy imports pass. It notes that India currently lacks a coherent maritime denial strategy for the strait.

Why it matters: This bears on the geoeconomics theme of using maritime chokepoints to impose costs on a conventionally superior power.

chokepoint maritime · great power rivalry

Record

Source
The Diplomat (tier 1)
Published
11 September 2026
Link
https://thediplomat.com/2026/09/can-india-exploit-chinas-malacca-dilemma/
Content depth
full
Regions
asia-pacific
Subregions
china, south-asia, indian-ocean
Actors
India, China, Pakistan
Edition
2026-09-12

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

nearly 80 percent of its total energy imports, worth $312 billion, pass through the Strait of Malacca
India’s control of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands means it does not need to rely on expensive aircraft carriers to threaten shipping through the Malacca Strait
it still lacks a coherent maritime denial strategy for the Strait of Malacca