Geostrategic Daily

Hudson Institute · 12 October 2026

America’s Adversaries Are Attacking Sideways

The commentary states that when the US imposed tariffs on China in April 2025, Beijing restricted exports of rare earth elements and magnets, and that when the US and Israel launched strikes against Iran in February, Tehran expanded the battlefield to the Gulf states. It cites the August discovery of an explosive-laden drone at Germany’s Leipzig Airport as part of a pattern in which Beijing, Tehran and Moscow use horizontal escalation to challenge US influence. The author defines horizontal escalation as the expansion of a conflict to new geographic regions or domains of competition.

Why it matters: The commentary argues that horizontal escalation is a geoeconomics and security challenge because adversaries operate across trade, military and supply-chain domains, requiring the US and its allies to coordinate responses.

critical minerals · supply chain risk · great power rivalry · sanctions export controls

Record

Source
Hudson Institute (tier 1)
Published
12 October 2026
Link
https://www.hudson.org/national-security-defense/americas-adversaries-are-attacking-sideways-peter-rough
Content depth
full
Regions
asia-pacific, europe-eurasia-mena
Subregions
china, gulf, eu
Actors
US, China, Iran, EU
Edition
2026-10-13

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

Beijing restricted exports of rare earth elements and magnets
Tehran expanded the battlefield to the Gulf states
Beijing, Tehran and Moscow are increasingly using horizontal escalation to challenge U.S. influence