Geostrategic Daily

Asharq Al-Awsat (English) · 12 September 2026

Trump Says Iran War Will End after US Midterm Elections

Trump said in Dublin that he expects the war with Iran to end after the US midterm elections in November, and that oil prices will then fall sharply. Iran's president said the Middle East does not need the US as a 'regional policeman.' The war began on February 28 after US-Israeli strikes killed Iran's supreme leader, and Tehran has since blockaded the Strait of Hormuz.

Why it matters: This matters for the oil markets theme: the projected end of the war is tied to a sharp drop in crude prices.

chokepoint maritime · great power rivalry

Record

Source
Asharq Al-Awsat (English) (tier 1)
Published
12 September 2026
Link
https://english.aawsat.com/node/5317414
Content depth
partial
Regions
americas, europe-eurasia-mena
Subregions
us, gulf
Actors
US, Iran
Edition
2026-09-13

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

the war with Iran will end after US midterm elections in November
oil prices will come tumbling down
Iran has been at war since February 28