Geostrategic Daily

Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide · 21 September 2026

Tankers: Is an Oil Shortage Already Underway?

Intermodal's analyst Nikos Tagoulis said the East–West pipeline, with a capacity of around 7mn bpd, had become Saudi Arabia's main alternative route to bypass Hormuz, with flows rising to more than 4mn bpd. Its shutdown materially reduces rerouting flexibility, and a prolonged outage would deepen an already substantial reduction in supply, adding upward pressure on oil prices. For crude carriers, the disruption constrains vessel supply and raises freight rates, with Middle East-linked earnings at exceptionally high levels.

Why it matters: This highlights the theme of energy security, as a prolonged pipeline outage would strain global energy markets and underscore the need for supply diversification.

chokepoint infrastructure · supply chain risk

Record

Source
Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide (tier 1)
Published
21 September 2026
Link
https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/tankers-is-an-oil-shortage-already-underway/
Content depth
full
Regions
europe-eurasia-mena
Subregions
gulf
Actors
Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq
Edition
2026-09-22

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

the East–West pipeline, with maximum capacity of around 7mn bpd
Saudi crude production had already fallen to 6.24mn bpd in August
A prolonged outage would therefore deepen an already substantial reduction in supply