Geostrategic Daily

Foreign Affairs · 21 September 2026

China Still Has What America Needs

The Trump administration entered an October 2025 summit with Xi Jinping believing it held leverage, but China has escalation dominance over the United States. Washington has already conceded on tariffs, technology controls, and visa policies to ease Chinese restrictions on rare-earth elements. The article argues the United States should build short-term inventories of strategic goods sourced from China and seek increased imports and Chinese foreign direct investment.

Why it matters: This illustrates the theme of decoupling: the United States cannot quickly decouple from Chinese supply chains and must manage strategic dependencies through bargaining rather than confrontation.

critical minerals · sanctions export controls · great power rivalry · supply chain risk

Record

Source
Foreign Affairs (tier 1)
Published
21 September 2026
Link
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/china-still-has-what-america-needs-adam-posen
Content depth
full
Regions
americas, asia-pacific
Subregions
china, us
Actors
China, US, Scott Bessent
Edition
2026-09-22

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

China has escalation dominance over the United States
the United States has conceded on tariffs, technology controls, and visa policies during various negotiations
Washington’s most important priority should be to build up short-term inventories of those strategic goods ultimately sourced from China