Geostrategic Daily

The Straits Times · 29 September 2026

Ukraine expects no Black Sea ceasefire in coming months

Ukraine's agriculture minister, Taras Vysotskyi, said in Brussels that he sees no positive signs of a ceasefire covering grain exports via the Black Sea in the coming months, and that Russia has so far rejected all proposals from Kyiv's partners. Strikes on port facilities since July have cut Ukraine's exports; alternative routes now account for 45 per cent of what needs to be shipped, with a maximum of 50 per cent of agricultural commodities exportable by those routes, leaving a risk that around 30 million tons will not be exported this marketing year. The European Commission denied Ukraine's request for €220 million for farmers and a liquidity mechanism, though Vysotskyi said a US$250 million low-interest World Bank loan would provide sufficient funding.

Why it matters: It bears on the food security theme: continued attacks on port infrastructure leave more than a quarter of the world's wheat shipments exposed to disruption.

chokepoint maritime · supply chain risk

Record

Source
The Straits Times (tier 1)
Published
29 September 2026
Link
https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/ukraine-expects-no-black-sea-ceasefire-in-coming-months
Content depth
full
Regions
europe-eurasia-mena
Subregions
black-sea
Actors
Ukraine, Russia, European Union
Edition
2026-09-29

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

Ukraine sees no positive signs that there could be a ceasefire covering grain exports via the Black Sea in the coming months
Russia has so far rejected all proposals from Kyiv’s partners
there is a risk that around 30 million tons of agricultural commodities will not be exported from the country this marketing year