Geostrategic Daily

Lowy Institute — The Interpreter · 13 October 2026

West Philippine Sea: Transparency alone won’t deter China

The article argues that the Philippines should go beyond a transparency-only approach in the West Philippine Sea, citing the Marcos Jr. administration’s Comprehensive Archipelagic Defence Concept, which emphasises basing dispersion, ranged strike capabilities and the use of geography. It calls on Manila to deepen foreign military partnerships, coordinate messaging and actions around shared values, the national interest and its red lines, and work with partners and allies on digital regulations and tech accountability. It also urges the Philippines to use its 2026 chairmanship of ASEAN to lead discussions on the region’s normative gains, noting that ASEAN’s founding norms of consensus and non-interference reflected the realities of 1967.

Why it matters: It bears on Indo-Pacific security, where Manila’s attempt to convert transparency, military partnerships and ASEAN norms into deterrence shapes the region’s strategic balance.

geostrategy military basing · great power rivalry

Record

Source
Lowy Institute — The Interpreter (tier 1)
Published
13 October 2026
Link
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/west-philippine-sea-transparency-alone-won-t-deter-china
Content depth
full
Regions
asia-pacific
Subregions
asean, china, taiwan
Actors
Philippines, China
Edition
2026-10-14

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

Comprehensive Archipelagic Defence Concept (CADC) laid the groundwork
the Philippines should make the most of its 2026 Chairmanship of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
The norms on which ASEAN has stood since its inception – consensus and non-interference – reflected the realities of 1967