Geostrategic Daily

The Hindu BusinessLine · 14 October 2026

Copper’s bullish momentum likely to continue for a few more months

BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, raised its 2026 average annual copper price forecast to $13,500/tonne from $12,700, and JP Morgan Global Research expects the price to reach $14,800 in the fourth quarter of this year. Australia's Office of the Chief Economist expects prices to remain high through 2028 before easing to about $11,600 a tonne in real terms by 2031. The forecasts cite the Iran war, sulphur shortages, mine disruptions, the Congo's copper concentrate export ban, and the threat of US tariffs on refined copper.

Why it matters: The outlook ties copper prices to US tariff decisions and supply constraints, placing the metal within the briefing's commodities theme.

critical minerals · sanctions export controls · supply chain risk

Record

Source
The Hindu BusinessLine (tier 1)
Published
14 October 2026
Link
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/commodities/coppers-bullish-momentum-likely-to-continue-for-a-few-more-months/article71583906.ece
Content depth
full
Regions
americas, asia-pacific, europe-eurasia-mena, sub-saharan-africa
Subregions
us, gulf, copperbelt, australia
Actors
BMI, JP Morgan, AOCE, LME
Edition
2026-10-15

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

revised our 2026 average annual copper price forecast upwards to $13,500/tonne from $12,700 previously
JP Morgan Global Research expects the copper price to reach $14,800 in the fourth quarter of this year
It expects prices to remain high through 2028 before easing to about $11,600 a tonne (real terms) by 2031.