Geostrategic Daily

Benchmark Source (Benchmark Mineral Intelligence) · 22 October 2026

Lithium industry needs the equivalent of 134 new mines by 2050 to meet growing demand Between now and 2050, the lithium industry will need the equivalent of 134 new lithium mines t

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence forecasts global lithium demand will reach about 7 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2050, up from 2.11 million tonnes in 2026, with 76% of 2050 demand driven by electric vehicles. At an average mine size of 36,000 tonnes LCE, the forecast growth is equivalent to the output of 134 new mines, or a new mine every two months for the next 24 years, with 44 of those mines needed to meet demand growth between 2040 and 2050. Benchmark estimates meeting 2050 demand requires more than US$100 billion of investment before any contribution from recycling.

Why it matters: The forecast underscores the scale of critical minerals supply expansion required, with investment needing to be sustained through price cycles while competing with AI, defence and the wider energy transition.

critical minerals · green tech supply chain · supply chain risk

Record

Source
Benchmark Source (Benchmark Mineral Intelligence) (tier 1)
Published
22 October 2026
Link
https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/lithium-industry-needs-the-equivalent-of-134-new-mines-by-2050-to-meet-growing-demand
Content depth
full
Regions
americas, asia-pacific, europe-eurasia-mena
Subregions
us, china, eu
Actors
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence
Edition
2026-10-22

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

global lithium demand will reach ~7 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in 2050
This is an increase of 4.8 million tonnes from a demand of 2.11 million tonnes LCE in 2026.
equivalent to the output of 134 new mines