Geostrategic Daily

The Diplomat · 9 September 2026

The Ultimate Hedger: Why Vietnam Is Thriving Amid Global Disorder

Vietnam responded to U.S. tariffs and Chinese pressure by intensifying its hedging strategy rather than aligning with any great power. Its exports and GDP grew strongly in 2025 and 2026, and it reached a tariff deal with the United States while refusing restrictions on ties with China and expanding engagement with China and Russia.

Why it matters: Vietnam’s success shows that hedging remains a viable strategy for middle powers amid global disorder.

sanctions export controls · supply chain risk · great power rivalry

Record

Source
The Diplomat (tier 1)
Published
9 September 2026
Link
https://thediplomat.com/2026/09/the-ultimate-hedger-why-vietnam-is-thriving-amid-global-disorder/
Content depth
full
Regions
americas, asia-pacific
Subregions
asean, china, us
Actors
Vietnam, United States, China, Donald Trump, Xi Jinping
Edition
2026-09-10

Grounding

Verbatim spans from the source text that support the summary above.

repeated, diverse, sustained, and complementary actions to engage with all major powers without reaching a formal alliance with any
Overall exports increased by 17 percent in 2025 overall
Vietnam’s GDP growth rate reached 8 percent in 2025 and 8.18 percent in the first half of 2026